The Texas Rangers and San Diego Padres meet in the second game of ESPN’s Sunday doubleheader, with first pitch set for 9:10 p.m. ET. The Padres won the series opener in extra innings on Jake Cronenworth’s walkoff single, while the Rangers took Saturday’s game 7-4 thanks to a stellar performance from Kyle Higashioka, who went 3-for-3 with a home run and five RBI. Both teams could use a series win after squandering away strong starts to the season. The Rangers have largely played .500 baseball while the Padres are now just six games above .500 after starting the year 14-3.
If you’re interested in MLB betting and want the latest Rangers vs. Padres odds, picks and player props, the SportsLine Projection Model has you covered.
Texas is handing the ball to Jack Leiter (4-5, 4.29 ERA) for Sunday’s matchup. The Rangers lost all five of Leiter’s starts in June, with the pitcher taking three losses personally. Even though he struggled through those 24 2/3 innings, he did log 22 strikeouts in the process. Leiter’s strikeouts prop at DraftKings Sportsbook is set at 3.5 (Over -150, Under +115) and the model leans to the Over. The Padres are going with David Morgan to start what is likely to be a bullpen game. Morgan last appeared in a game against the Phillies on the final day of June, pitching two shutout innings.
Corey Seager (+330) and Fernando Tatis Jr. (+330) are co-favorites to hit a home run, while Manny Machado (+340) is right behind them. Jake Burger (+360) and Jackson Merrill (+390) round out the top five most likely hitters to go yard Sunday. Machado is the only player among the five to hit a home run in this series, logging his 14th of the year in Friday’s opener.
The Padres are -130 favorites (wager $130 to win $100) on the money line in the latest SportsLine consensus odds, while the Rangers are +110 (wager $100 to win $110). The total sits at 8.5. You can see the model’s latest projections, along with expert picks for Rangers-Padres, at SportsLine.
Here are the SportsLine model’s projections.
TEXAS RANGERS at SAN DIEGO PADRES | 7/6 | 9:10 p.m. ET
Money line
Pick: Rangers +110
Texas wins in 50% of simulations
Run line
Pick: Rangers +1.5 (-196)
Texas covers in 72% of simulations, bringing value at these odds
Over/Under
Pick: Over 8.5
The Over hits in 52.9% of simulations
Projected score: Rangers 4.7, Padres 4.4
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